OO 5532 · SGF → IAH

departs 6:19 AM CT · arrives 8:19 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SGF are usually not late

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.89 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5532 · SGF → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?