OO 5544 · ORD → CID

departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 5:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CID that day

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

CID (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5544 · ORD → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?