OO 5568 · ORD → GRR

departs 9:10 AM CT · arrives 11:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into GRR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.74 in

GRR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5568 · ORD → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?