OO 5589 · ASE → DEN

departs 2:19 PM MT · arrives 3:25 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5589 · ASE → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?