OO 5591 · MLI → ORD

departs 10:52 AM CT · arrives 11:56 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at MLI that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MLI (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.17 in

ORD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.87 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5591 · MLI → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?