OO 5601 · LNK → ORD

departs 9:02 AM CT · arrives 10:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LNK that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LNK (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.15 in

ORD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.88 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5601 · LNK → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?