OO 5609 · ORD → ATW

departs 12:42 PM CT · arrives 1:47 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ ATW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

ATW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5609 · ORD → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?