OO 5620 · ORD → CAE

departs 6:33 AM CT · arrives 9:39 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CAE?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAE

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.99 in

CAE (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5620 · ORD → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?