Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5641
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5641 · DEN → XNA
departs 1:30 PM MT · arrives 4:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±9 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.0 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into XNA at that hour are usually not late
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.95 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.