OO 5651 · ORD → MLI

departs 9:15 AM CT · arrives 10:38 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −38 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MLI that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MLI usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into MLI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

MLI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5651 · ORD → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?