Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5652 · SFO → FAT
departs 4:10 PM PT · arrives 5:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 6 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.