OO 5657 · ORD → PIT

departs 4:14 PM CT · arrives 6:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

PIT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5657 · ORD → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?