OO 5663 · OKC → IAH

departs 11:56 AM CT · arrives 1:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ 11am departures from OKC are usually not late

↓ OKC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.86 in

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5663 · OKC → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?