OO 5664 · ORD → SGF

departs 12:49 PM CT · arrives 2:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SGF that day

↓ Arrivals into SGF at that hour are usually not late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.01 in

SGF (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5664 · ORD → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?