OO 5673 · TUL → DEN

departs 7:09 PM CT · arrives 8:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.33 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5673 · TUL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?