OO 5684 · MCI → DEN

departs 7:11 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from MCI are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5684 · MCI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?