OO 5691 · ORD → PVD

departs 6:14 PM CT · arrives 9:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.91 in

PVD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5691 · ORD → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?