OO 5693 · SUN → SFO

departs 9:08 AM MT · arrives 10:29 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SUN

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SUN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5693 · SUN → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?