OO 5696 · ORD → STL

departs 12:49 PM CT · arrives 2:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.76 in

STL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5696 · ORD → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?