Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5706 · SFO → MFR
departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 5:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MFR (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.