Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5707
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5707 · SFO → RNO
departs 12:12 PM PT · arrives 1:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 30%
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.