OO 5716 · IAH → GRR

departs 6:18 PM CT · arrives 10:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↓ Other factors

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

GRR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.80 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5716 · IAH → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?