Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5719
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5719 · ORD → TUS
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 10:11 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 32%
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
TUS is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUS
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.23 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.