OO 5735 · MCI → ORD

departs 10:03 AM CT · arrives 11:42 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±9 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.83 in

ORD (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5735 · MCI → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?