OO 5745 · IAH → TUL

departs 6:24 PM CT · arrives 8:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.32 in

TUL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5745 · IAH → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?