OO 5748 · TUL → IAH

departs 9:04 AM CT · arrives 10:47 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from TUL are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.78 in

IAH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5748 · TUL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?