OO 5750 · LAX → ASE

departs 10:19 AM PT · arrives 1:38 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5750 · LAX → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?