Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5761
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 5761 · ORD → TVC
departs 5:59 PM CT · arrives 8:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
75%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
75%
Leave 15+ late
68%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.76 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.