OO 5770 · ASE → DEN

departs 9:15 AM MT · arrives 10:33 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 9am departures from ASE are often late

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5770 · ASE → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?