Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5780
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5780 · MEM → ORD
departs 2:22 PM CT · arrives 4:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Wed 9/30 76%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 29%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±10 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.