Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5795 · ORD → TUL
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 11:03 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.48 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 1.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.