OO 5821 · ORD → MKE

departs 9:06 AM CT · arrives 9:56 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MKE that day

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are usually not late

↓ MKE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.88 in

MKE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5821 · ORD → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?