OO 5840 · ABQ → SFO

departs 9:44 AM MT · arrives 11:48 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5840 · ABQ → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?