Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5844
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5844 · OKC → ORD
departs 5:36 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
48%
Cancelled
18%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 69% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
18%
Cancelled
18%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.60 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.