OO 5852 · ORD → FNT

departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 6:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FNT?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 4pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at FNT that day

↓ FNT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.96 in

FNT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5852 · ORD → FNT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FNT?