OO 5890 · ORD → CHO

departs 8:49 AM CT · arrives 11:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CHO?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi forecast at CHO that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip1.01 in

CHO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5890 · ORD → CHO

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHO?