OO 5927 · MSN → DEN

departs 5:08 AM CT · arrives 6:48 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MSN that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MSN are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.57 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5927 · MSN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?