Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5930 · ORD → FAR
departs 2:00 PM CT · arrives 4:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 1.48 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.