OO 5942 · DEN → DRO

departs 8:16 AM MT · arrives 9:33 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DRO more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DRO?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DRO that day

↓ Arrivals into DRO at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DRO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5942 · DEN → DRO

Odds over time

How late will it get to DRO?