Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5947
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 5947 · RAP → DEN
departs 4:36 PM MT · arrives 6:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 9/30 68%
Thu 10/1
Sat 10/3 25%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RAP (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.