Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5956 · ASE → ORD
departs 12:39 PM MT · arrives 4:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±11 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.