Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5961
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 5961 · SMF → SFO
departs 6:59 PM PT · arrives 8:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 54% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SMF (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.