OO 5995 · ORD → LEX

departs 6:54 AM CT · arrives 9:25 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LEX?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

LEX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5995 · ORD → LEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LEX?