OO 6013 · GRR → IAH

departs 6:49 AM ET · arrives 8:39 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.66 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6013 · GRR → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?