OO 6015 · TUL → IAH

departs 2:01 PM CT · arrives 4:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ TUL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

IAH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6015 · TUL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?