Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6018 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Thursday, October 1

OO 6018 · MBS → ORD

departs 12:36 AM ET · arrives 12:17 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 12am departures from MBS are usually not late

Weather at each end

MBS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip1.00 in

ORD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6018 · MBS → ORD

Odds over time