Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6200
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6200 · BNA → ORD
departs 4:01 PM CT · arrives 6:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 45%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 37%
Wed 10/7 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
85%
chance · ±7 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
85%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
85%
Yes 85%
No 15%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
33%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.86 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.