Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6210
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 6210 · ORD → SAF
departs 6:59 PM CT · arrives 9:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 25%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 77% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
6pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 36 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.