Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 6211 · MKE → ORD
departs 6:55 PM CT · arrives 8:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 42%
Wed 10/7 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
78%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
78%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
78%
Yes 78%
No 22%
Leave MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MKE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.62 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.