OO 6215 · ORD → MCI

departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±4 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.20 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6215 · ORD → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?